Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 9
Club Brugge
CLU
St.Truiden
STT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Club Brugge44%
Draw26%
St.Truiden30%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.28
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession56%
41%Territory38%
31%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.13
3.9%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Club Brugge, 4 for St.Truiden. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.