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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 9

Royal Antwerp

ROY

Sporting Charleroi

SPO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Royal Antwerp27%
Draw24%
Sporting Charleroi49%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.87

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 0–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession53%
38%Territory37%
33%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Royal Antwerp, 3 for Sporting Charleroi. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.