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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 8

Westerlo

WES

Royal Antwerp

ROY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Westerlo58%
Draw21%
Royal Antwerp21%

Expected goals

2.23 – 1.35

Over 2.5

68%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 219.4%
  • 118.6%
  • 207.0%
  • 316.9%
  • 106.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession48%
35%Territory38%
39%From set plays33%
0.13Chance quality0.08
5.7%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Westerlo, 3 for Royal Antwerp. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.