Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 8
Zulte Waregem
ZUL
Gent
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Zulte Waregem35%
Draw30%
Gent35%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.19
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–111.2%
- 0–010.7%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession42%
44%Territory32%
28%From set plays36%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Zulte Waregem, 4 for Gent. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.