Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 8
Standard Liège
STA
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Standard Liège40%
Draw26%
Sporting Charleroi34%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.41
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sporting Charleroi get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession53%
39%Territory37%
21%From set plays37%
0.19Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Standard Liège, 3 for Sporting Charleroi. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.