Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 8
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
OH Leuven
OHL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Union St.Gilloise62%
Draw22%
OH Leuven16%
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.96
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.8%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.8%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Union St.Gilloise get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession54%
41%Territory36%
41%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.08
5.1%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Union St.Gilloise, 4 for OH Leuven.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Union St.Gilloise
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.