Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 8
KV Mechelen
KVM
St.Truiden
STT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
KV Mechelen34%
Draw26%
St.Truiden40%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.57
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
KV Mechelen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession56%
39%Territory38%
56%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.13
7.1%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for KV Mechelen, 4 for St.Truiden. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.