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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 8

SK Beveren

SKB

Lommel

LOM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

SK Beveren46%
Draw27%
Lommel27%

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.16

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 1010.8%
  • 219.3%
  • 017.7%
  • 207.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Lommel get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession48%
35%Territory28%
9%From set plays24%
0.13Chance quality0.09
7.0%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for SK Beveren, 3 for Lommel. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.