Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 7
Royal Antwerp
ROY
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Royal Antwerp23%
Draw22%
Union St.Gilloise55%
Expected goals
1.34 – 2.11
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.5%
- 1–19.2%
- 0–17.3%
- 0–27.1%
- 1–36.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession47%
38%Territory41%
33%From set plays41%
0.08Chance quality0.14
6.7%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Royal Antwerp, 4 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Royal Antwerp
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.