Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 7
Lommel
LOM
KV Mechelen
KVM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lommel42%
Draw27%
KV Mechelen32%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.31
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
KV Mechelen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession52%
28%Territory39%
24%From set plays56%
0.09Chance quality0.11
5.9%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lommel, 3 for KV Mechelen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.