Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 7
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Cercle Brugge
CER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Charleroi52%
Draw25%
Cercle Brugge23%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.07
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession53%
37%Territory37%
37%From set plays38%
0.12Chance quality0.08
7.8%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Charleroi, 3 for Cercle Brugge. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting Charleroi
Cercle Brugge
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 54 matches, not the full season.