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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 22

FC Zürich

FCZ

Sion

SIO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Zürich30%
Draw27%
Sion42%

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.48

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 0110.2%
  • 128.9%
  • 108.3%
  • 007.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

46%Possession52%
37%Territory37%
32%From set plays32%
0.11Chance quality0.15
7.7%Directness6.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Zürich, 5 for Sion.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.