Swiss Super League · Matchweek 22
Thun
THU
FC Vaduz
FCV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Thun50%
Draw24%
FC Vaduz26%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.29
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession63%
40%Territory37%
45%From set plays54%
0.14Chance quality0.08
8.9%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Thun, 2 for FC Vaduz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.