Swiss Super League · Matchweek 22
Thun
THU
FC Vaduz
FCV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Thun39%
Draw27%
FC Vaduz34%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.33
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession58%
41%Territory32%
27%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.12
8.4%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Thun, 4 for FC Vaduz.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.