Swiss Super League · Matchweek 22
St. Gallen
STG
Basel
BAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Gallen44%
Draw28%
Basel28%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.13
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–08.8%
- 0–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Gallen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession49%
46%Territory40%
29%From set plays7%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.3%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for St. Gallen, 4 for Basel.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.