Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Swiss Super League · Matchweek 22

Servette

SER

Lugano

LUG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Servette36%
Draw31%
Lugano33%

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.06

Over 2.5

37%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.5%
  • 1–012.7%
  • 0–012.7%
  • 0–111.9%
  • 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

48%Possession44%
34%Territory41%
33%From set plays8%
0.08Chance quality0.10
7.5%Directness8.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Servette, 2 for Lugano. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.