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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Swiss Super League · Matchweek 22

Servette

SER

Lugano

LUG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Servette36%
Draw30%
Lugano33%

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.13

Over 2.5

41%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 0–011.3%
  • 0–111.2%
  • 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Servette get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession54%
38%Territory37%
35%From set plays20%
0.12Chance quality0.10
6.6%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Servette, 5 for Lugano.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.