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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 21

Sion

SIO

St. Gallen

STG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sion54%
Draw26%
St. Gallen20%

Expected goals

1.67 – 0.95

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.7%
  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

55%Possession41%
38%Territory35%
19%From set plays31%
0.17Chance quality0.11
4.8%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sion, 2 for St. Gallen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.