Skip to content

Swiss Super League · Matchweek 21

Sion

SIO

St. Gallen

STG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sion50%
Draw26%
St. Gallen24%

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.08

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 1011.3%
  • 219.6%
  • 208.5%
  • 007.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

52%Possession54%
37%Territory46%
32%From set plays29%
0.15Chance quality0.09
6.9%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Sion, 5 for St. Gallen.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.