Swiss Super League · Matchweek 21
Grasshopper
GRA
Thun
THU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grasshopper41%
Draw26%
Thun33%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.43
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession55%
34%Territory40%
50%From set plays45%
0.11Chance quality0.14
5.6%Directness8.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Grasshopper, 2 for Thun. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.