Swiss Super League · Matchweek 21
Basel
BAS
Young Boys
YOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Basel36%
Draw27%
Young Boys37%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.45
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession51%
40%Territory43%
7%From set plays11%
0.10Chance quality0.14
5.7%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Basel, 4 for Young Boys.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.