Swiss Super League · Matchweek 21
Basel
BAS
Young Boys
YOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Basel39%
Draw29%
Young Boys32%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.18
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–110.0%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
61%Possession54%
50%Territory42%
40%From set plays41%
0.06Chance quality0.12
4.1%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Basel, 2 for Young Boys. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.