Swiss Super League · Matchweek 20
Thun
THU
FC Zürich
FCZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Thun42%
Draw27%
FC Zürich31%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.26
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession46%
41%Territory37%
27%From set plays32%
0.12Chance quality0.11
8.4%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Thun, 4 for FC Zürich.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.