Swiss Super League · Matchweek 20
Thun
THU
FC Zürich
FCZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Thun45%
Draw23%
FC Zürich31%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.59
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.4%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession47%
40%Territory39%
45%From set plays25%
0.14Chance quality0.17
8.9%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Thun, 2 for FC Zürich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.