Swiss Super League · Matchweek 20
Lugano
LUG
Sion
SIO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lugano38%
Draw28%
Sion33%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.24
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession55%
41%Territory38%
8%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.17
8.6%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lugano, 2 for Sion. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.