Swiss Super League · Matchweek 20
Lugano
LUG
Sion
SIO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lugano38%
Draw28%
Sion34%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.25
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–08.7%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession52%
37%Territory37%
20%From set plays32%
0.10Chance quality0.15
5.9%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Lugano, 5 for Sion.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.