Swiss Super League · Matchweek 20
Lausanne
LAU
Basel
BAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lausanne38%
Draw30%
Basel32%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.09
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–012.3%
- 0–011.5%
- 0–111.0%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lausanne get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession49%
39%Territory40%
28%From set plays7%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.9%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lausanne, 4 for Basel.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.