Swiss Super League · Matchweek 20
Lausanne
LAU
Basel
BAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lausanne33%
Draw30%
Basel37%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.21
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–111.8%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–011.0%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession61%
40%Territory50%
33%From set plays40%
0.14Chance quality0.06
7.8%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lausanne, 2 for Basel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.