Swiss Super League · Matchweek 19
FC Zürich
FCZ
Lausanne
LAU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Zürich41%
Draw30%
Lausanne29%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.06
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.6%
- 0–010.9%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession50%
37%Territory39%
32%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.09
7.7%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Zürich, 4 for Lausanne.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.