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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 19

FC Zürich

FCZ

Lausanne

LAU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Zürich53%
Draw23%
Lausanne24%

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.27

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

47%Possession42%
39%Territory40%
25%From set plays33%
0.17Chance quality0.14
7.5%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC Zürich, 2 for Lausanne. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.