Swiss Super League · Matchweek 19
Young Boys
YOU
Lugano
LUG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Young Boys42%
Draw27%
Lugano31%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.30
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession54%
43%Territory37%
11%From set plays20%
0.14Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Young Boys, 5 for Lugano.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Young Boys
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.