Swiss Super League · Matchweek 19
Young Boys
YOU
Lugano
LUG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Young Boys35%
Draw27%
Lugano38%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.41
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
54%Possession44%
42%Territory41%
41%From set plays8%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Young Boys, 2 for Lugano. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.