Swiss Super League · Matchweek 19
Servette
SER
Thun
THU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Servette47%
Draw27%
Thun26%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.13
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession55%
34%Territory40%
33%From set plays45%
0.08Chance quality0.14
7.5%Directness8.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Servette, 2 for Thun. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Servette
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.