Swiss Super League · Matchweek 19
Servette
SER
Thun
THU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Servette45%
Draw28%
Thun27%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.08
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.9%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–09.0%
- 0–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession52%
38%Territory41%
35%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.6%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Servette, 5 for Thun.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Servette
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.