Swiss Super League · Matchweek 19
Basel
BAS
FC Vaduz
FCV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Basel45%
Draw29%
FC Vaduz26%
Expected goals
1.34 – 0.97
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.7%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–011.2%
- 0–19.6%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
61%Possession63%
50%Territory37%
40%From set plays54%
0.06Chance quality0.08
4.1%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Basel, 2 for FC Vaduz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.