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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 19

Basel

BAS

FC Vaduz

FCV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Basel40%
Draw28%
FC Vaduz32%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.22

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.6%
  • 1010.6%
  • 019.2%
  • 218.6%
  • 008.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Vaduz will have the ball; Basel will not mind.

49%Possession58%
40%Territory32%
7%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Basel, 4 for FC Vaduz.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.