Swiss Super League · Matchweek 18
FC Vaduz
FCV
Lugano
LUG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Vaduz37%
Draw29%
Lugano35%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.25
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–110.1%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession54%
32%Territory37%
16%From set plays20%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Vaduz, 5 for Lugano.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.