Swiss Super League · Matchweek 18
FC Vaduz
FCV
Lugano
LUG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Vaduz28%
Draw28%
Lugano44%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.44
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–111.6%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–08.9%
- 1–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession44%
37%Territory41%
54%From set plays8%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.7%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC Vaduz, 2 for Lugano. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.