Swiss Super League · Matchweek 18
Thun
THU
Sion
SIO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Thun31%
Draw27%
Sion43%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.54
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession52%
41%Territory37%
27%From set plays32%
0.12Chance quality0.15
8.4%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Thun, 5 for Sion.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.