Swiss Super League · Matchweek 18
Thun
THU
Sion
SIO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Thun31%
Draw25%
Sion44%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.71
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–17.9%
- 2–17.4%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession55%
40%Territory38%
45%From set plays19%
0.14Chance quality0.17
8.9%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Thun, 2 for Sion. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.