Swiss Super League · Matchweek 18
Lausanne
LAU
St. Gallen
STG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lausanne34%
Draw29%
St. Gallen38%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.31
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession41%
40%Territory35%
33%From set plays31%
0.14Chance quality0.11
7.8%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lausanne, 2 for St. Gallen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.