Swiss Super League · Matchweek 18
Lausanne
LAU
St. Gallen
STG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lausanne36%
Draw31%
St. Gallen34%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.13
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–011.6%
- 0–111.5%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession54%
39%Territory46%
28%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.09
7.9%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lausanne, 5 for St. Gallen.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.