Swiss Super League · Matchweek 18
Basel
BAS
FC Zürich
FCZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Basel41%
Draw28%
FC Zürich31%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.20
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
61%Possession47%
50%Territory39%
40%From set plays25%
0.06Chance quality0.17
4.1%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Basel, 2 for FC Zürich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.