Swiss Super League · Matchweek 18
Basel
BAS
FC Zürich
FCZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Basel43%
Draw28%
FC Zürich29%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.16
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Zürich get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession46%
40%Territory37%
7%From set plays32%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.7%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Basel, 4 for FC Zürich.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.