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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 17

FC Zürich

FCZ

Grasshopper

GRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Zürich39%
Draw27%
Grasshopper34%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.37

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 109.0%
  • 218.5%
  • 018.3%
  • 127.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

46%Possession43%
37%Territory46%
32%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.15
7.7%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Zürich, 5 for Grasshopper.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.