Swiss Super League · Matchweek 17
St. Gallen
STG
FC Vaduz
FCV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Gallen46%
Draw28%
FC Vaduz26%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.06
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.3%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession63%
35%Territory37%
31%From set plays54%
0.11Chance quality0.08
7.8%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for St. Gallen, 2 for FC Vaduz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.