Swiss Super League · Matchweek 17
St. Gallen
STG
FC Vaduz
FCV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Gallen42%
Draw28%
FC Vaduz30%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.18
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession58%
46%Territory32%
29%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for St. Gallen, 4 for FC Vaduz.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.