Swiss Super League · Matchweek 17
Sion
SIO
Basel
BAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sion53%
Draw27%
Basel20%
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.88
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.3%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–010.2%
- 0–010.0%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession61%
38%Territory50%
19%From set plays40%
0.17Chance quality0.06
4.8%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sion, 2 for Basel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.