Swiss Super League · Matchweek 16
FC Zürich
FCZ
Lugano
LUG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Zürich33%
Draw27%
Lugano40%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.51
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 1–28.7%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession44%
39%Territory41%
25%From set plays8%
0.17Chance quality0.10
7.5%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC Zürich, 2 for Lugano. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.