Swiss Super League · Matchweek 16
FC Zürich
FCZ
Lugano
LUG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Zürich33%
Draw29%
Lugano38%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.32
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–09.2%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lugano will have the ball; FC Zürich will not mind.
46%Possession54%
37%Territory37%
32%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.10
7.7%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Zürich, 5 for Lugano.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.