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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 16

St. Gallen

STG

Grasshopper

GRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

St. Gallen42%
Draw29%
Grasshopper29%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.09

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–012.1%
  • 0–09.9%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

41%Possession41%
35%Territory34%
31%From set plays50%
0.11Chance quality0.11
7.8%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for St. Gallen, 2 for Grasshopper. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.