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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 16

Lausanne

LAU

Sion

SIO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lausanne29%
Draw29%
Sion42%

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.32

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.0%
  • 0112.3%
  • 0010.3%
  • 109.8%
  • 128.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

50%Possession52%
39%Territory37%
28%From set plays32%
0.09Chance quality0.15
7.9%Directness6.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lausanne, 5 for Sion.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.