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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 15

FC Vaduz

FCV

FC Zürich

FCZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Vaduz38%
Draw26%
FC Zürich37%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.52

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

63%Possession47%
37%Territory39%
54%From set plays25%
0.08Chance quality0.17
4.7%Directness7.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC Vaduz, 2 for FC Zürich. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.