Swiss Super League · Matchweek 15
Thun
THU
St. Gallen
STG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Thun44%
Draw26%
St. Gallen30%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.27
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession41%
40%Territory35%
45%From set plays31%
0.14Chance quality0.11
8.9%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Thun, 2 for St. Gallen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.