Swiss Super League · Matchweek 15
Thun
THU
St. Gallen
STG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Thun38%
Draw28%
St. Gallen35%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.32
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession54%
41%Territory46%
27%From set plays29%
0.12Chance quality0.09
8.4%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Thun, 5 for St. Gallen.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.