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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 15

Servette

SER

Lausanne

LAU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Servette54%
Draw26%
Lausanne20%

Expected goals

1.60 – 0.89

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.7%
  • 1–111.8%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

48%Possession42%
34%Territory40%
33%From set plays33%
0.08Chance quality0.14
7.5%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Servette, 2 for Lausanne. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.