Swiss Super League · Matchweek 15
Servette
SER
Lausanne
LAU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Servette44%
Draw31%
Lausanne26%
Expected goals
1.25 – 0.91
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.6%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–012.8%
- 0–110.3%
- 2–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession50%
38%Territory39%
35%From set plays28%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.6%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Servette, 4 for Lausanne.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Servette
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.