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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Swiss Super League · Matchweek 14

Young Boys

YOU

Thun

THU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Young Boys46%
Draw24%
Thun30%

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.50

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.9%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 1–07.0%
  • 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

54%Possession55%
42%Territory40%
41%From set plays45%
0.12Chance quality0.14
5.0%Directness8.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Young Boys, 2 for Thun. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.