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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 14

Young Boys

YOU

Thun

THU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Young Boys52%
Draw24%
Thun24%

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.24

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.4%
  • 219.7%
  • 108.8%
  • 207.6%
  • 126.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Thun get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession52%
43%Territory41%
11%From set plays27%
0.14Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness8.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Young Boys, 5 for Thun.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.