Swiss Super League · Matchweek 14
Lugano
LUG
Grasshopper
GRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lugano52%
Draw26%
Grasshopper22%
Expected goals
1.60 – 0.96
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession41%
41%Territory34%
8%From set plays50%
0.10Chance quality0.11
8.6%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lugano, 2 for Grasshopper. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.