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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 14

Lugano

LUG

Grasshopper

GRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lugano47%
Draw26%
Grasshopper27%

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.16

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.9%
  • 1010.6%
  • 219.4%
  • 207.7%
  • 017.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Lugano will have the ball; Grasshopper will not mind.

54%Possession43%
37%Territory46%
20%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.15
5.9%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Lugano, 5 for Grasshopper.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.