Swiss Super League · Matchweek 13
Thun
THU
Basel
BAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Thun40%
Draw28%
Basel32%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.27
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.0%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Thun get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession49%
41%Territory40%
27%From set plays7%
0.12Chance quality0.10
8.4%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Thun, 4 for Basel.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.