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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 13

Servette

SER

FC Zürich

FCZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Servette45%
Draw29%
FC Zürich27%

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.04

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.8%
  • 1012.6%
  • 009.8%
  • 019.0%
  • 218.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession46%
38%Territory37%
35%From set plays32%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.6%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Servette, 4 for FC Zürich.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.