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Swiss Super League · Matchweek 13

Grasshopper

GRA

Lausanne

LAU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grasshopper46%
Draw28%
Lausanne27%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.08

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.5%
  • 1012.0%
  • 219.1%
  • 009.0%
  • 018.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

43%Possession50%
46%Territory39%
26%From set plays28%
0.15Chance quality0.09
7.6%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Grasshopper, 4 for Lausanne.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.