Swiss Super League · Matchweek 12
St. Gallen
STG
Servette
SER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Gallen41%
Draw30%
Servette30%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.08
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.3%
- 0–010.5%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession48%
46%Territory38%
29%From set plays35%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.3%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for St. Gallen, 5 for Servette.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.