Swiss Super League · Matchweek 11
Sion
SIO
Lausanne
LAU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sion53%
Draw27%
Lausanne20%
Expected goals
1.57 – 0.91
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.7%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 0–09.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession50%
37%Territory39%
32%From set plays28%
0.15Chance quality0.09
6.9%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Sion, 4 for Lausanne.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.