Swiss Super League · Matchweek 11
Basel
BAS
Grasshopper
GRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Basel40%
Draw27%
Grasshopper32%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.31
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Grasshopper get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession43%
40%Territory46%
7%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.15
5.7%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Basel, 5 for Grasshopper.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.