Swiss Super League · Matchweek 10
St. Gallen
STG
Lausanne
LAU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Gallen45%
Draw29%
Lausanne26%
Expected goals
1.35 – 0.98
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.6%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–011.0%
- 0–19.5%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession50%
46%Territory39%
29%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.3%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for St. Gallen, 4 for Lausanne.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.