Swiss Super League · Matchweek 10
FC Zürich
FCZ
Thun
THU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Zürich42%
Draw27%
Thun31%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.26
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession52%
37%Territory41%
32%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.12
7.7%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Zürich, 5 for Thun.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.