Swiss Super League · Matchweek 9
Lausanne
LAU
Lugano
LUG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lausanne32%
Draw31%
Lugano37%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.18
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 0–112.6%
- 0–012.1%
- 1–011.3%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession54%
39%Territory37%
28%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.9%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lausanne, 5 for Lugano.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.