Swiss Super League · Matchweek 9
Basel
BAS
St. Gallen
STG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Basel39%
Draw29%
St. Gallen32%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.21
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–09.0%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Gallen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession54%
40%Territory46%
7%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Basel, 5 for St. Gallen.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.